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Annie Duke

  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    Thinking in bets starts with recognizing that there are exactly two things that determine how our lives turn out: the quality of our decisions and luck.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    Pete Carroll was a victim of our tendency to equate the quality of a decision with the quality of its outcome.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    Quick or dead: our brains weren’t built for rationality
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    You could teach someone the rules of poker in five minutes, put them at a table with a world champion player, deal a hand (or several), and the novice could beat the champion. That could never happen in chess.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    The quality of our lives is the sum of decision quality plus luck.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    As we learn more about how our brains operate, we recognize that we don’t perceive the world objectively. But our goal should be to try.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    every decision has risks
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    The promise of this book is that if we follow the example of poker players by making explicit that our decisions are bets, we can make better decisions and anticipate (and take protective measures) when irrationality is likely to keep us from acting in our best interest.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    We don’t think of our parenting choices as bets but they are. We want our children to be happy, productive adults when we send them out into the world. Whenever we make a parenting choice (about discipline, nutrition, school, parenting philosophy, where to live, etc.), we are betting that our choice will achieve the future we want for our children more than any other choice we might make given the constraints of the limited resources we have to allocate—our time, our money, our attention.
  • Вадим Мазурцитирует2 года назад
    Poker players live in a world where that risk is made explicit. They can get comfortable with uncertainty because they put it up front in their decisions
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